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Anthropic IPO: valuation revised to $1.5 trillion

Anthropic IPO. Some investors involved in Anthropic’s upcoming stock market listing have proposed a company valuation of around $1.5 trillion, lower than the $2 trillion estimated in previous weeks. This revision follows the presentation of third-quarter results, which showed a slowdown in revenue growth.

Anthropic IPO

Interest in Anthropic’s potential IPO, scheduled for November, has encountered a first setback. During a meeting held on October 15 at the San Francisco headquarters, some participants discussed a valuation of approximately $1.5 trillion, a figure lower than previous expectations.

Anthropic IPO: why it matters

CEO Dario Amodei and CFO Krishna Rao presented third-quarter financial data to potential investors. Total revenues amounted to $16.8 billion, registering a 45% increase compared to the previous quarter. Although this figure may appear positive, some investors considered it below their forecasts, especially considering that in the second quarter, revenues had increased by 147%, rising from $4.7 billion in the first quarter to $11.6 billion.

According to reports from those present at the meeting, the main concern lies not so much in growth itself, but in its deceleration. The shift from a quarterly growth rate exceeding 100% to one of 45% was interpreted by some funds as a signal that the company might reach a phase of maturity more rapidly than expected.

Despite this, Anthropic announced it had achieved profitability on an adjusted basis in the third quarter, a rare result for companies operating in the generative artificial intelligence sector. Investor Gavin Baker of Atreides Management highlighted positive free cash flow and accelerated growth recorded in October, noting that approximately 75% of the company’s computing expenses is dedicated to model training rather than inference.

However, a significant element remains to be considered: the financial commitments assumed to support expansion. Anthropic has signed multi-year agreements for over $518 billion destined for cloud services, computing capacity, and infrastructure. This figure represents a considerable burden that investors are carefully evaluating at a time when the market begins to question the use of debt to finance the race toward artificial intelligence.

What changes and what are the effects

Competitive pressure from Chinese laboratories has also forced Anthropic to reduce prices and, consequently, revenues derived from model distillation, a practice that allows third-party companies to train smaller systems using the outputs of larger models.

It is important to note that the revenue figures disclosed during the meeting have not yet been officially confirmed by an Anthropic spokesperson and come from anonymous sources present at the meeting. Despite the possible downsizing, even a valuation of $1.5 trillion would make Anthropic’s listing one of the largest ever attempted by a company in the artificial intelligence sector. The gap between initial expectations and current ones highlights how the market is demanding greater financial rigor even from the most promising companies in the industry.

Source and further reading on Anthropic IPO: original article.

* Content created with the assistance of artificial intelligence systems.